Present: Levi Bonnell, Justine Dee, Emily Houston, Ben
Littenberg, Adam Sprouse-Blum, Connie van Eeghen (6)
Guest:
Brendan Thoms (Rheum MD, PhD in treatment of osteoarthritis, Research
interests)
1. Warm Up: Introductions
2.
Brendan and
Levi Paper: Predictors of
Inflammatory Arthritis Among New Patient Referrals – the audience is
Rheumatologists, although it involves PCPs as well
a.
Title: is it specific enough? Patient
population? Type of study?
b.
Abstract
i.
Unstated problem: rheumatologists are
overwhelmed by volume of patients and trying to get to the sicker ones quicker.
Also, some of that volume is inappropriate and may be better managed at the PCP
level.
ii.
Objective: could be clearer
iii.
What is a referral letter? At UVM MC: PCP writes an order. What is the
best way to describe the data source?
iv.
Not accurate: distinguish inflammatory
vs non-inflammatory arthritis? This is already known. Clarify the issue around predictive
variables.
v.
Not clear that the variables used were
available to the PCP. Is the focus on
the pre-specialty visit? Then organize the
message around their work process.
c.
Introduction
i.
What’s the hook and how does it logically
flow?
ii.
The message is about timely dx and
treatment of an inflammatory disease; this gets muddy
d.
Methods
i.
Referral letter not described
ii.
How does the list of exclusions relate
to the message of the paper: things that the PCP can do?
iii.
Prediction models: Ben now prefers a
CART model to handle a variety of variables, including “missingness”, better
than a multi-regression logistics model
e.
Results
i.
There is an unspoken issue: there are no
standard expectations about when to refer to Rheum and what tests to do ahead
of time
ii.
Focus on the message and the audience. Is the goal to make a PCP tool or a Rheum
tool?
f.
Next steps: testing the goodness of the
variables that may predict inflammatory disease.
3.
Next week: TBD
Recorded
by: CvE